Rostov 0-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.3
X/1
19%
3.57
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
14%
5.19
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2
8%
9.95
2/X
5%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.72/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.98
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +74%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.1 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-0
AWAY Makhachkala
0.90 xG 0.97
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
401 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 22
34 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Makhachkala played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rostov had 63% of the ball to Makhachkala's 37%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.90 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Makhachkala?

Rostov 0-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rostov 53%, draw 26%, Makhachkala 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rostov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
22 Sep 2024
14:15 Khimki vs FK Orenburg Analysis →
16:30 Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →
19:00 Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Lokomotiv Moscow Analysis →