Spartak Moskova 3-0 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.75/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.98
+53% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.94 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
404 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
01.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
07.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.10.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
23.09.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
29.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-1 HT 4-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova cruised past Dinamo Moscow 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 60% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 40%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.00 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Spartak Moskova 3-0 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 46%, draw 24%, Dinamo Moscow 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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