Krasnodar 1-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.87
-26% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.75 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
420 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.10.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
11.06.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
27.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
28.02.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
23.02.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past CSKA Moskova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Krasnodar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 61% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 39%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Krasnodar and 0.83 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskova?

Krasnodar 1-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 41%, draw 22%, CSKA Moskova 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
31 Jul 2024
16:00 Khimki vs FK Orenburg Analysis →
18:30 Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →
21:00 FC Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Analysis →