Khimki 1-0 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 38%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.14
+84% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 2.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
308 Passes 288
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2022 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
03.09.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
31.10.2019 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-0
AWAY FK Orenburg
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khimki vs FK Orenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki nicked a narrow win over FK Orenburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Khimki had 55% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 45%, shots finished 13-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Khimki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Khimki and 1.33 for FK Orenburg.

What was the final score of Khimki vs FK Orenburg?

Khimki 1-0 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Cup on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs FK Orenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Khimki 42%, draw 25%, FK Orenburg 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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