Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 32% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.88
-15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 2.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 423
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
06.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 2-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
29.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
04.08.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
09.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar squeezed past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.33 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 27%, draw 28%, Krasnodar 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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