Lokomotiv Moscow 4-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.02
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Khimki
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.26 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 5-1 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
18.10.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
28.09.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-5 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
20.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
06.03.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
25.09.2021 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
4-0
AWAY Khimki
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow swept aside Khimki 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 58% of the ball to Khimki's 42%, shots finished 24-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 0.50 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki?

Lokomotiv Moscow 4-0 Khimki in the Russia - Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 55%, draw 22%, Khimki 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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