FK Orenburg 0-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 46%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.00/5.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rostov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.57 xG 2.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 0-2 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
29.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
06.11.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
10.04.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-2 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
23.11.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 4-2 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
14.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
0-1
AWAY Rostov
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over FK Orenburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Rostov made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 47% of the ball to Rostov's 53%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Orenburg and 2.17 for Rostov.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Rostov?

FK Orenburg 0-1 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 34%, draw 29%, Rostov 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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