Rostov vs FK Orenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rostov v FK Orenburg — Team-Based Signals
Rostov vs FK Orenburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Rostov
RUS
2-2
HT 2-0
Rostov
RUS
4-2
HT 3-0
Rostov
RUK
3-1
HT 0-0
FK Orenburg
RUK
2-1
HT 1-0
FK Orenburg
RUS
Rostov 3-2 FK Orenburg — Actual Match Statistics
Rostov nicked a narrow win over FK Orenburg 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Rostov had 61% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 39%, shots finished 22-19, expected goals 3.12 to 1.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rostov's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rostov and 1.67 for FK Orenburg.
What was the final score of Rostov vs FK Orenburg?
Rostov 3-2 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rostov vs FK Orenburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rostov 45%, draw 28%, FK Orenburg 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.