Dinamo Moscow 1-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.65
X/1
15%
4.0
X/2
10%
11.3
X/X
14%
6.79
2/1
9%
19.6
2/2
11%
7.71
2/X
5%
15.95
Value flag · 1/X at 15.65 — our 11% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
60%
-16.7pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.7pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -19%
1.62/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.1 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 0.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.02.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov HAZ
29.07.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
05.03.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
01.03.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
23.02.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.07 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
362 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow edged past Krylya Sovetov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 52% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.33 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Dinamo Moscow 1-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 44%, draw 30%, Krylya Sovetov 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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