Dinamo Moscow 4-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.75
X/1
17%
3.81
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
13%
6.65
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
11%
10.5
2/X
7%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.66/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.53
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.9 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov HAZ
29.07.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
05.03.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
01.03.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
23.02.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
07.08.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.33 xG 0.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 450
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow cruised past Krylya Sovetov 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 42% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.17 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Dinamo Moscow 4-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 49%, draw 29%, Krylya Sovetov 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5
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