Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zenit St. Petersburg v Rostov — Team-Based Signals
Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics
Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Rostov 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 70% of the ball to Rostov's 30%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zenit St. Petersburg's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.33 for Rostov.
What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?
Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 59%, draw 22%, Rostov 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.