Rostov 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 36% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.55
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
14%
6.24
X/2
11%
5.06
X/X
16%
4.35
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.3
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.34/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.44
+25% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.71 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg HAZ
03.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
25.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2023 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Rostov 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Zenit St. Petersburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rostov had 52% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 48%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rostov and 2.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rostov 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rostov 34%, draw 28%, Zenit St. Petersburg 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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