Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Feb 2025

Rostov
1-2
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 28% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.64
1/2
8%
20.9
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
7%
9.98
X/2
11%
4.19
X/X
17%
5.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.06
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-12.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 61%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.56/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/1.12
-55% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.76 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
25.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2023 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
03.12.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Rostov Rostov RUS

Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-2
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Rostov 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rostov had 52% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 48%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rostov and 2.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Friendlies on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rostov 25%, draw 30%, Zenit St. Petersburg 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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