Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Moss — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOK
3-0
HT 1-0
Moss
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR1
4-1
HT 0-0
Moss
NOR1
4-2
HT 2-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Moss
NOR1
Sarpsborg 08 squeezed past Moss 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.00 for Moss.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss?
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Moss in the Friendlies on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 55%, draw 24%, Moss 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.