Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.07
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.67
1/2
6%
20.8
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
13%
7.29
X/2
11%
5.08
X/X
10%
5.93
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
25%
2.69
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.89
-26% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.39 xG 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
261 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-3 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
22.09.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
31.07.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
12.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
01.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
07.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
0-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Moscow 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 50% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 2.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Spartak Moskova in the Friendlies on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 35%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskova 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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