Dinamo Moscow 2-3 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.33/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.96
+131% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.67
45% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
261 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
31.07.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
12.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
01.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
07.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.10.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2-3
AWAY Spartak Moskova
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova edged past Dinamo Moscow 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Spartak Moskova made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 35% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 65%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.67 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Dinamo Moscow 2-3 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 34%, draw 29%, Spartak Moskova 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
2 Oct 2024
16:15 Khimki vs Rostov Analysis →
19:00 Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala Analysis →
21:15 FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar Analysis →
21:15 Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron Analysis →