Khimki 2-2 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
12%
16.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 22% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.02/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.00
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rostov
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 328
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUK
02.04.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
19.03.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
31.07.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
14.05.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
08.08.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
2-2
AWAY Rostov
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and Rostov shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Khimki had 50% of the ball to Rostov's 50%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Khimki and 1.33 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Rostov?

Khimki 2-2 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Khimki 34%, draw 32%, Rostov 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
2 Oct 2024
19:00 Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova Analysis →
19:00 Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala Analysis →
21:15 FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar Analysis →
21:15 Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron Analysis →