Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 Oct 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
5-1 HT 3-0
Akron
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Akron — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2024 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK

Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 Akron — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5-1
AWAY Akron
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over Akron 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 47% of the ball to Akron's 53%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron?

Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 Akron in the Russia - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 62%, draw 21%, Akron 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ BTTS No
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