FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 24% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.44/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+54% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
172 Passes 478
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
21.07.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.05.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
16.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
03.06.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-2 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
15.03.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-3 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
3-0
AWAY Krasnodar
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny cruised past Krasnodar 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day FC Akhmat Grozny made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 53% of the ball to Krasnodar's 47%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.33 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar?

FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 36%, draw 26%, Krasnodar 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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