Krasnodar 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.79/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/3.19
-4% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
457 Passes 175
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.05.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
16.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
03.06.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-2 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
15.03.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-3 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUSK
15.10.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar nicked a narrow win over FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 67% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 33%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krasnodar and 1.33 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krasnodar 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Cup on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 47%, draw 28%, FC Akhmat Grozny 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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