Fakel 1-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 15 Aug 2024

Fakel
1-2 HT 1-1
Akron
📅15/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.51
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 34%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.39/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-77% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Akron
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.47 xG 2.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
161 Passes 359
58% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
17.11.2021 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
08.08.2021 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
15.05.2021 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS1
01.08.2020 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
1-2
AWAY Akron
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron nicked a narrow win over Fakel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Akron found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fakel had 60% of the ball to Akron's 40%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fakel had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Fakel and 0.80 for Akron.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Akron?

Fakel 1-2 Akron in the Russia - Cup on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fakel 37%, draw 27%, Akron 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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