Fakel 0-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

Fakel
0-2 HT 0-0
Akron
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
9%
7.05
X/X
16%
3.73
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
14%
6.04
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.17/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.96
-59% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.7 Crosses 10.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2021 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
08.08.2021 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
15.05.2021 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS1
01.08.2020 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-2
AWAY Akron
0.47 xG 2.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
161 Passes 359
58% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron beat Fakel 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Akron made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 38% of the ball to Akron's 62%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.47 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fakel had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fakel and 0.50 for Akron.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Akron?

Fakel 0-2 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fakel 39%, draw 31%, Akron 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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