Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0-3 HT 0-1
CSKA Moskova
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
49%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.22
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
6%
17.5
X/1
11%
11.35
X/2
19%
3.67
X/X
15%
5.48
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.95
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-10.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v CSKA Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 64%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.16/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.03
+45% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.0 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
233 Passes 353
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-6 HT 0-3 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-2 HT 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
05.11.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
31.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.07.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
05.03.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova cruised past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 25%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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