Rubin Kazan 0-4 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

Rubin Kazan
0-4 HT 0-2
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.31
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
7%
9.3
X/2
18%
3.94
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.22
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rubin Kazan v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 58%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.12/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.85
-28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
13.7 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 2.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
239 Passes 484
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.02.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
20.09.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-3 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
08.03.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.10.2020 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS

Rubin Kazan 0-4 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
0-4
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.62 xG 2.01
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
284 Passes 578
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over Rubin Kazan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 36% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 64%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.62 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.83 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rubin Kazan 0-4 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 27%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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