Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
0-2 HT 0-0
Rubin Kazan
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.05
X/1
15%
3.36
X/2
6%
14.6
X/X
9%
5.66
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
9%
12.8
2/X
11%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Rubin Kazan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.87/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.80
+25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.7 Crosses 11.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.21 xG 0.97
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
478 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.02.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
20.09.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-3 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
08.03.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.10.2020 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
23.11.2019 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 Rubin Kazan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
0-2
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.87 xG 0.76
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
500 Passes 169
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 7
42 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan saw off Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 71% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 29%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.87 to 0.76 — on chances, Zenit St. Petersburg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.33 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 53%, draw 27%, Rubin Kazan 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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