Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Krasnodar v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals
Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Krasnodar
RUS
Krasnodar 3-2 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics
Krasnodar nicked a narrow win over Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Krasnodar had 55% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 45%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.60 to 1.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Krasnodar's control.
What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Krasnodar 3-2 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 52%, draw 24%, Baltika Kaliningrad 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.