Krylya Sovetov 3-3 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.03
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-92% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
543 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
01.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
3-3
AWAY Makhachkala
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Makhachkala couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 56% of the ball to Makhachkala's 44%, shots finished 14-20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Makhachkala led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.00 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala?

Krylya Sovetov 3-3 Makhachkala in the Russia - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 40%, draw 31%, Makhachkala 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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