Krylya Sovetov 0-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.2
X/1
17%
3.71
X/2
5%
9.18
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
8.08
2/X
8%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.76/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/3.09
-9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.5 Crosses 14.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-1
AWAY Makhachkala
0.68 xG 0.99
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
543 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala edged past Krylya Sovetov 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Krylya Sovetov at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 71% of the ball to Makhachkala's 29%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 0.68 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala?

Krylya Sovetov 0-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 50%, draw 29%, Makhachkala 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
1 Sep 2024
15:00 FK Orenburg vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →
19:45 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar Analysis →
20:00 Rostov vs Fakel Analysis →