Lokomotiv Moscow 0-3 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow
0-3 HT 0-2
Krasnodar
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.23
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.19
X/2
12%
6.11
X/X
16%
5.0
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.05
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Moscow v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.19
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
14.4 Crosses 15.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
239 Passes 337
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
19.08.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
18.03.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
23.11.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
14.09.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 HT 1-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
06.08.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS

Lokomotiv Moscow 0-3 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
0-3
AWAY Krasnodar
1.03 xG 2.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
340 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar cruised past Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Krasnodar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 51% of the ball to Krasnodar's 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.03 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.67 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Lokomotiv Moscow 0-3 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 36%, draw 30%, Krasnodar 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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