CSKA Moskova 2-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
11%
7.46
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
5.78
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.34/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.20
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.73 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
25.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
19.08.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
13.11.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
08.10.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
24.04.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Moscow 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day CSKA Moskova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 61% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 39%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.50 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

CSKA Moskova 2-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 36%, draw 30%, Dinamo Moscow 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
12 Mar 2025
18:15 Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Analysis →