Rostov 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
52%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
13.65
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
9%
22.45
X/1
9%
15.7
X/2
16%
3.82
X/X
10%
6.78
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
28%
1.65
2/X
6%
19.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-15.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 71%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
0.97/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.68
-8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +49%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
14.1 Crosses 19.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.91 xG 2.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
12.03.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
07.02.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg HAZ
03.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
25.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.39 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
292 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Rostov 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rostov had 44% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.39 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rostov and 2.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rostov 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rostov 23%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
18 May 2025
13:30 Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova Analysis →
14:00 FC Akhmat Grozny vs Makhachkala Analysis →
16:30 Dinamo Moscow vs Akron Analysis →