FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.9
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.81
X/2
5%
7.12
X/X
9%
4.73
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
18%
5.29
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.46/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.11
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.6 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 0.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
289 Passes 292
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-1
AWAY Makhachkala
1.29 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
223 Passes 191
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny and Makhachkala shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 53% of the ball to Makhachkala's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.29 to 1.36.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Makhachkala?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 45%, draw 26%, Makhachkala 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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