Krylya Sovetov 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 May 2025

Krylya Sovetov
0-2 HT 0-2
Spartak Moskova
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.98
X/2
12%
5.6
X/X
10%
5.19
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.51
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.15/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.33
+21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
17.7 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.91 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
250 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.09.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-1 HT 3-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
14.08.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-3 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
05.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.12.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
01.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 4-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
03.06.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

Krylya Sovetov 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.34 xG 1.96
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
156 Passes 535
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova saw off Krylya Sovetov 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Spartak Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 28% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 72%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.34 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova?

Krylya Sovetov 0-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 38%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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