Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.91
+47% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 Passes 421
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.12.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
01.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 4-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
03.06.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
23.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
09.10.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 5-2 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-3
AWAY Spartak Moskova
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova cruised past Krylya Sovetov 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 44% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 56%, shots finished 11-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.00 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova?

Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 30%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskova 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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