CSKA Moskova 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 27% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.45/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/3.17
-39% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.63 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-6 HT 0-3 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-2 HT 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
05.11.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
31.07.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.07.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Pari Nizhny Novgorod shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. CSKA Moskova carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.50 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 56%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
14 Aug 2024
17:15 Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg Analysis →
19:30 Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskova Analysis →
19:30 Dinamo Moscow vs Makhachkala Analysis →