Rubin Kazan 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
43%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 28% vs market 18.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+11.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
43%
Away Win
59%
-16.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 62%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
0.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.10
-99% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -41%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 2.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
249 Passes 504
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.02.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
20.09.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-3 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
08.03.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Rubin Kazan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 49% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 51%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rubin Kazan and 2.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rubin Kazan 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 30%, draw 27%, Zenit St. Petersburg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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