Dinamo Moscow 2-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 27%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2-1
AWAY Makhachkala
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow nicked a narrow win over Makhachkala 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 45% of the ball to Makhachkala's 55%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Makhachkala?

Dinamo Moscow 2-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 46%, draw 30%, Makhachkala 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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