Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.69
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.59
X/2
11%
7.79
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.07
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.10/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.06
-95% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rostov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.11 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
07.02.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg HAZ
03.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
25.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
16.04.2023 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Rostov
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off Rostov 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 45% of the ball to Rostov's 55%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 53%, draw 24%, Rostov 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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