FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.87
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.19
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.74
X/2
14%
6.53
X/X
16%
3.89
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
9%
5.24
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +25%
1.16/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.18
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.3 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
302 Passes 253
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
31.03.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
07.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.08.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
17.12.2020 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.31 xG 1.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
397 Passes 193
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny edged past Rubin Kazan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Akhmat Grozny as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 63% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 37%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.31 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.50 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan?

FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 42%, draw 28%, Rubin Kazan 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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