Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2-1
Akron
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.64
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.42
X/2
11%
5.83
X/X
13%
4.33
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
17%
4.08
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Akron — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.3 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 2.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
382 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 45
21 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Akron Akron 2-2 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Akron — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2-1
AWAY Akron
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over Akron 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pari Nizhny Novgorod found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pari Nizhny Novgorod had 49% of the ball to Akron's 51%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pari Nizhny Novgorod win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 36%, draw 30%, Akron 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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