Hartberg 1-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 Sep 2024

Hartberg
1-0 HT 0-0
Swarovski Tirol
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
8%
7.79
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.54
2/X
10%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.64
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.4 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.65
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
340 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
07.10.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 3-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
06.05.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 5-0 HT 4-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
29.04.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
22.10.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
31.07.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU

Hartberg 1-0 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.57 xG 0.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
371 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg squeezed past Swarovski Tirol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartberg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartberg had 53% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 47%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.57 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hartberg and 1.50 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Hartberg 1-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 44%, draw 28%, Swarovski Tirol 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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