AAli FC 1-2 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 29% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AAli FC
1-2
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
42% Ball Possession 58%
2 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama nicked a narrow win over AAli FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Al Shabab Manama made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AAli FC had 42% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 58%, shots finished 2-8.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs Al Shabab Manama?

AAli FC 1-2 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 36%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Manama 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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