Sitra 4-1 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
7%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.41/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.25
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Manama
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-2 HT 1-2 Manama Manama BAH
22.10.2023 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
19.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 2-0 HT 2-0 Manama Manama BAH
02.02.2023 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
13.09.2022 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
4-1
AWAY Manama
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra cruised past Manama 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Sitra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sitra had 39% of the ball to Manama's 61%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sitra and 0.60 for Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Manama?

Sitra 4-1 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sitra 39%, draw 29%, Manama 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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