Motagua 2-2 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.75
Over Pick
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.87/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
+29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +142%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
16.0 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua CONOAK
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and CS Herediano shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CS Herediano?

Motagua 2-2 CS Herediano in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Motagua 43%, draw 24%, CS Herediano 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motagua)
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CONOAK More CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup
26 Sep 2024
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