Celaya 0-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.62
Over 2.5
60%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.9
No
40%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
58%
-17.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
42%
+17.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.6pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.86
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atlante
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
15.01.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.08.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
16.02.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
13.11.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
10.11.2022 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
29.09.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante squeezed past Celaya 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Atlante made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Celaya and 1.17 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Atlante?

Celaya 0-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Celaya 36%, draw 30%, Atlante 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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