Export Sebaco 1-1 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
0.94/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.03
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Diriangen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
10.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.12.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 1-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
31.08.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 1-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
21.04.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 5-1 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco and Diriangen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Diriangen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.67 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Export Sebaco 1-1 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 29%, draw 28%, Diriangen 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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