SC Villa 2-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 26 Sep 2024

SC Villa
2-1 HT 1-0
BUL
📅26/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

SC Villa vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
21%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.03
No
66%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
28%
-7.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
45%
-11.2pp
66%
BTTS No
55%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SC Villa v BUL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.86/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.03
-32% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

SC Villa vs BUL Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BUL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
The Meetings
15.03.2024 BUL BUL 0-1 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA

SC Villa 2-1 BUL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
2-1
AWAY BUL
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa nicked a narrow win over BUL 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SC Villa had 47% of the ball to BUL's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs BUL?

SC Villa 2-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 48%, draw 31%, BUL 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
26 Sep 2024
00:00 Lugazi Municipal vs Vipers Analysis →