Orange County SC 2-0 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -5%
1.16/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.36
+13% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.9 Crosses 22.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 422
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
29.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
01.10.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-1 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
21.05.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
13.08.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
03.07.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-2 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
2-0
AWAY Phoenix Rising
1.20 xG 0.96
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
222 Passes 506
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC saw off Phoenix Rising 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Orange County SC had 34% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 66%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orange County SC and 1.50 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?

Orange County SC 2-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 32%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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