Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Orange County SC
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Phoenix Rising 2-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising edged past Orange County SC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 57% of the ball to Orange County SC's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.17 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Phoenix Rising 2-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 47%, draw 26%, Orange County SC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.