Rapperswil-Jona 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 45%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.97/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.24
-70% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
16.3 Crosses 21.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.06.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-0 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV2
31.05.2023 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 1-3 HT 0-3 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax beat Rapperswil-Jona 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 3.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Rapperswil-Jona 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 34%, draw 23%, Neuchatel Xamax 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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